Karolina Muchova vs Marta Kostyuk Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do second serve performances compare? In recent months, Marta Kostyuk has secured 39.17% of her second serve points, while Karolina Muchova has won 45.91%. This can significantly influence match outcomes.
• Looking at return game stats, Marta Kostyuk has won 50.54% of opponents' second serve points, slightly better than Karolina Muchova’s 49.80%. For first serve returns, Kostyuk has a slight edge with 30.91% compared to Muchova’s 29.27%.
• Under pressure, Karolina Muchova excels at saving breakpoints, achieving a 58.33% success rate, whereas Marta Kostyuk has managed to save 52.23% during crucial moments.
• In terms of overall performance over the past year, Karolina Muchova boasts a 62.50% win rate, slightly superior to Marta Kostyuk’s 59.18%.
• Surface preferences show Marta Kostyuk thrives on Clay, winning 66% of matches, in contrast to her less effective performance on Grass. Karolina Muchova's strongest surface is Hard, with a 66% win ratio, while Grass remains her weaker suit.
• On a high-level Masters series, Kostyuk has a slightly better win percentage at 70.00% compared to Muchova’s 66.67%.
• They have faced off once before, with Karolina Muchova securing a 2-1 set victory, indicating her slight upper hand in direct competitions.
• Kostyuk has played against tougher opponents recently, with an average opponent rank of 62.22 compared to Muchova's 98.63.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Kostyuk has a marginally better win rate of 59% compared to Muchova's 56%.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Marta Kostyuk and Karolina Muchova promises to be a competitive encounter. Recent statistics show that Muchova has an advantage in second serve performance, a crucial aspect in tight matches. With a higher breakpoint saving percentage, Muchova displays resilience during crucial points, which can sway the outcome in her favor.

Comparatively, Kostyuk excels in returning second serves and has faced higher-ranked opponents recently, suggesting her potential to challenge Muchova effectively. Despite this, their previous meeting resulted in a victory for Muchova, highlighting her current edge in head-to-head matchups.

Considering these factors, Karolina Muchova emerges as the likely winner of the upcoming tennis match, given her performance superiority in several key areas.